Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.159971 0.185393 0.213553 0.247064 0.285867 0.329399 0.381966
2025-07-13 0.124203 0.159352 0.202387 0.258978 0.331502 0.421430 0.541593
2025-07-20 0.104275 0.143503 0.194964 0.267466 0.367129 0.499564 0.689381
2025-07-27 0.090617 0.132048 0.189543 0.275242 0.399990 0.575405 0.841677
2025-08-03 0.078939 0.120863 0.181946 0.277542 0.423777 0.639734 0.984281
2025-08-10 0.068440 0.109521 0.172033 0.274226 0.437642 0.689785 1.110403
2025-08-17 0.058773 0.097912 0.159872 0.265271 0.440772 0.722605 1.212280
2025-08-24 0.053837 0.093104 0.157594 0.271427 0.468234 0.796255 1.388183
2025-08-31 0.048738 0.087277 0.152782 0.272466 0.486794 0.856646 1.548138
2025-09-07 0.044818 0.082940 0.149866 0.276194 0.510043 0.927036 1.733192
2025-09-14 0.040055 0.076463 0.142364 0.270644 0.515672 0.966359 1.865692
2025-09-21 0.036339 0.071456 0.136899 0.268087 0.526281 1.015458 2.021586
2025-09-28 0.033460 0.067775 0.133619 0.269553 0.545238 1.083291 2.224060
2025-10-05 0.032167 0.067078 0.136006 0.282474 0.588388 1.203069 2.545701
2025-10-12 0.030583 0.065578 0.136594 0.291738 0.625052 1.313774 2.861814
2025-10-19 0.029059 0.064008 0.136829 0.300223 0.660958 1.426711 3.196114
2025-10-26 0.027134 0.061334 0.134434 0.302734 0.684184 1.515241 3.487420
2025-11-02 0.024893 0.057690 0.129537 0.299114 0.693332 1.574044 3.718597
2025-11-09 0.022413 0.053213 0.122304 0.289343 0.687295 1.598199 3.872237
2025-11-16 0.021374 0.051962 0.122196 0.296060 0.720371 1.715073 4.259930
2025-11-23 0.020039 0.049849 0.119863 0.297194 0.740202 1.803057 4.587744
2025-11-30 0.019005 0.048347 0.118796 0.301262 0.767608 1.912020 4.980834
2025-12-07 0.017460 0.045389 0.113894 0.295206 0.768952 1.957251 5.216309